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Macroeconomic Report for the Week Ending 28 November 2025 – Australian Market Outlook
The global macroeconomic backdrop shifted notably in the week ending 28 November 2025, fuelling a renewed "risk-on" sentiment that propelled a decisive recovery in Australian equities. In the United States, softening labour market indicators—specifically an acceleration in weekly ADP job losses—combined with a cooler-than-expected Core PPI reading and dovish commentary from Federal Reserve officials, led to a sharp repricing of interest rate expectations, with markets now pricing in an ~85% probability of a December cut. This pivot abroad overshadowed sticky domestic inflation data, allowing interest-rate-sensitive growth sectors to lead the S&P/ASX 200 higher, even as uncertainty persists around the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy path.
Macroeconomic Report for the Week Ending 5 December 2025 – Australian Market Outlook
Global data point to a softening but still mixed growth backdrop, with US manufacturing in mild contraction contrasted against resilient services activity. Labour indicators such as ADP employment and continuing jobless claims show cooling private hiring and more challenging re‑employment conditions, reinforcing expectations of earlier and deeper Federal Reserve rate cuts. Core US PCE inflation is running at a steady, moderate pace, allowing the Fed to stay on hold while waiting for clearer evidence that inflation is durably converging to the target.
Atlantic Lithium’s (ASX: A11) uptrend is holding amid heavy market turbulence. How significant is this show of resilience?
Atlantic Lithium has managed to hold its uptrend despite broader market turbulence, a sign of underlying strength in a weak environment for resource stocks. Steady buying at key support levels suggests confidence has not collapsed, supported by progress at its Ewoyaa lithium project in Ghana. This combination of solid fundamentals and constructive chart behaviour highlights resilience in a volatile, sentiment-driven sector.
Most lithium explorers are falling — why is Atlantic Lithium (ASX: A11) holding up, and what does it signal?
Atlantic Lithium is holding up while many lithium explorers fall because it is further advanced toward production, with permitting progress at Ewoyaa, funding support, and improving lithium prices underpinning confidence. Strong drilling results and a clear path to FID differentiate it from early-stage peers. Technically, the stock remains in an uptrend with solid volume support, signalling accumulation rather than distribution and suggesting investors are backing execution, not just sentiment.
Immutep (ASX: IMM): A High-Risk Immunotherapy Bet Waiting for Phase III Validation
Immutep is a Sydney-based clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on immunotherapy, specifically targeting the LAG-3 immune pathway. The company is dual-listed on the ASX and NASDAQ, giving it access to both Australian and US capital markets. It does not yet generate commercial product revenue and remains dependent on capital markets and partnerships to fund its development programs, making it a milestone-driven investment rather than a revenue-backed operating business.
Racura Oncology Ltd (ASX: RAC): Could RC220 Turn This Small Biotech into a Billion-Dollar Cancer Stock?
Racura Oncology is a clinical-stage biotech developing RC220 (bisantrene), a potential treatment for cancers such as AML and lung cancer. The company is pre-revenue and mainly funded through cash reserves and capital raises while advancing clinical trials. Its future valuation depends largely on trial results, regulatory progress and potential partnerships if the drug proves effective.
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